The Case for American Genocide: A Special Report
The Unthinkable Is Happening Now
The United States is engaged in an organized campaign of genocide targeting vulnerable domestic populations.
The Trump Administration’s second term is not merely flirting with authoritarianism; it is executing a project of group destruction where the actions taken constitute the crime of genocide, punishable under international law. The convergence of mass deportations, the erasure of transgender identity, reproductive abuse, and perpetrator rhetoric from the highest levels of government constitutes a destructive process in motion. The individuals responsible, from the President down, are not simply implementing controversial policies; they are committing international crimes that carry individual criminal liability.
This campaign is neither random nor chaotic. It follows a meticulous strategic vision laid out in Project 2025, the political manifesto that serves as the executive branch's North Star. The alliance with Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu, who faces genocide charges, is not a diplomatic anomaly but part of a global playbook for mutual defense against criminal prosecution. The players employing these tactics threaten the very architecture of global human rights.
This report demonstrates how the Trump Administration’s conduct fulfills the definition of this crime and sounds the alarm on a nation turning on its own people.
I am not a lawyer, and nothing I say here or elsewhere constitutes legal advice.
A Radical Break from the Past
The current crisis represents a radical departure from America's historical, even if often flawed, self-image as a global leader in human rights. In the aftermath of World War II and the Holocaust, it was the US that championed the creation of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide. American leadership was instrumental in drafting the treaty that would define the "crime of crimes" and establish a framework for holding perpetrators accountable.
For decades, the U.S. government, regardless of the party in power, at least ostensibly adhered to this legacy. The current leadership has not just abandoned this role; it is attempting to dismantle it. By attacking institutions of international justice, aligning with leaders accused of mass atrocities, and turning the instruments of the state against its own vulnerable populations, the executive branch is engaged in a wholesale repudiation of the very principles the US once helped to codify.
This historical context is important for understanding the unprecedented nature of the current process.
A Crime in Progress: Applying the Legal Definition
The United States is a party to the UN Genocide Convention and is therefore bound by its articles under international law. White House actions align with the specific legal definition of genocide as outlined in Article II of the Convention, which defines it as any of several acts committed with the intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnic, racial, or religious group.
This intention is not merely inferred; it was documented in the Project 2025 manifesto.
This nearly 1,000-page document serves as an operational playbook, making clear that removing and erasing targeted groups is a foundational tactic of this administration, whose campaign against immigrants and transgender people fulfills multiple criteria of the Convention:
(b) Causing serious bodily or mental harm to members of the group: This is met through the separation of families at the border, which inflicts profound and lasting psychological trauma. Furthermore, the legal and social assault on transgender identity—demanded by Project 2025's call to delete "sexual orientation and gender identity (‘SOGI’)" from all federal recognition—is an act of profound mental harm.
(c) Deliberately inflicting on the group conditions of life calculated to bring about its physical destruction: The policy of mass deportations, a cornerstone of Project 2025's vision for "the largest deportation operation in American history," sends individuals to dangerous environments. This, combined with the deprivation of healthcare and due process in substandard detention camps, constitutes the deliberate infliction of destructive living conditions.
(d) Imposing measures intended to prevent births within the group: Documented reports of coerced sterilizations and reproductive abuse in immigration detention centers directly fulfill this prohibition.
(e) Forcibly transferring children of the group to another group: The policy of family separation, which has resulted in thousands of children being taken from their parents, represents a textbook example of this act.
The methodical implementation of the Project 2025 blueprint into official executive orders provides a clear paper trail of the intent to commit these crimes, moving the project from rhetoric to state-sponsored action.
The Process: The Ten Stages of Genocide in Modern America
Genocide is a process, not a single event. The following ten-stage framework, developed by Dr. Gregory H. Stanton of Genocide Watch, illuminates the methodical steps through which this crime is being realized in the US.
Classification divides society. The state marks undocumented immigrants, transgender people, and political dissidents as an "other," creating an "us vs. them" dynamic.
Hate-fueled Symbolization marks the victims. At the presidential inauguration, a key advisor, Elon Musk, gave a Nazi salute twice. This was paired with official rhetoric using terms like "invaders" and "monsters" to label targeted groups.
Discrimination becomes official policy. Executive orders deny access to healthcare, education, and legal recognition for targeted groups—a crucial step the Lemkin Institute calls "paper marginalization."
Dehumanization casts targets as subhuman. Equating immigrants with "murderers" denies their humanity and frames them as a societal disease that must be purged.
Organization mobilizes the state apparatus. Federal agencies like ICE and CBP are restructured and expanded, and military personnel are deployed for mass raids, building the capacity required for mass atrocity.
Polarization is amplified through propaganda. Societal rifts are deepened by attacking moderate voices and civil society organizations as "enemies of public order." This tactic is reinforced by psychological warfare; when the lines between "legal" and "illegal" become arbitrarily blurred through the "accidental" detention of citizens, terror expands beyond the primary target group. This sends a chilling message to anyone who might resist—allies, activists, and mixed-status families—that citizenship may not be enough to protect them, paralyzing opposition.
Preparation lays the groundwork for mass atrocity. The expansion of the deportation apparatus, the growth of detention camps, and the removal of due process are all acts of preparation for the forcible transfer of populations.
The state unleashes Persecution. This stage is happening now through mass raids, arbitrary arrests, family separations, and denial of safe detention conditions. Each "mistaken" detention of a person with legal rights acts as a stress test on the enforcement system. If the consequences are minimal, it signals that the state is ready for more aggressive actions against non-citizens, who have far fewer protections. It is a dress rehearsal for persecution on a grander scale.
The preceding stages create the conditions for Extermination. While systematic mass killing has not yet occurred, scholars warn that this is the inevitable endpoint of the process if it is not halted.
Denial works to ensure impunity. This final stage is already in progress as the administration and its allies attack international accountability mechanisms. The strategic "correction" of high-profile "mistaken" detentions, is a sophisticated form of denial. By performatively releasing a detained citizen, the state creates the illusion of a self-correcting system, diverting public outrage from the thousands of non-citizens whose detentions are deemed legitimate and potentially normalizing increasing levels of "collateral damage" over time.
"Genocide is a process that develops in ten stages that are predictable but not inexorable. At each stage, preventive measures can stop it. The process is not linear. Stages occur simultaneously. Each stage is itself a process. Their logic is similar to a nested Russian matryoshka doll. Classification is at the center. Without it the processes around it could not occur. As societies develop more and more genocidal processes, they get nearer to genocide. But all stages continue to operate throughout the process."
–The Lemkin Institute (emphasis in original)
International Alliances and the Erosion of Accountability
A distinguishing feature of this process is its network of international alliances with other states enabling mass atrocity. These "Axes of Genocide," in this context an axis described by the Lemkin Institute as comprising the United States, Israel, Russia, Turkey, and Azerbaijan, are strategic alignments whose primary goal is to dismantle the system of international law. The members provide mutual diplomatic cover, undermine mechanisms like the International Criminal Court (ICC), and create a global environment where impunity for state-sanctioned violence becomes the norm.
The U.S.-Israel Mutual Defense Pact Against Justice: The relationship between the Trump and Netanyahu governments serves as a lynchpin. The U.S. provides the diplomatic shield, financial backing, and military hardware for Israel's operations in Gaza. In return, Israel provides a working model of an ethnonationalist security state. Together, they form a united front to legitimize each other's actions and defy international law.
The U.S.-Russia Alignment on Impunity: Russia's war of aggression in Ukraine has been widely recognized as genocidal. Despite this, President Trump has courted Vladimir Putin. As commentator George F. Will observed, during their August 2025 Alaska summit, Trump, "flaccid as a boned fish, crumpled quicker than even Vladimir Putin probably anticipated." Trump’s posture validated Putin's narrative and dismissed the atrocities. This serves a mutual interest: Trump's "America First" doctrine benefits from Putin's challenge to the international order, while Putin benefits from the American president's refusal to condemn his actions.
A Permissive Environment for Turkey and Azerbaijan: The axis's assault on international accountability creates a vacuum that enables other members to pursue their own projects of group destruction. The actions of Turkey and Azerbaijan, particularly concerning Armenian populations, have been flagged by genocide scholars. With the U.S. attacking the ICC, states like Turkey and Azerbaijan are emboldened, knowing the primary global power that might have once checked their actions is now an architect of impunity.
The cynical nature of these relationships is transactional.
Prime Minister Netanyahu’s sudden recognition of the Armenian Genocide in August 2025—a clear political maneuver against Turkey—shows how the memory of one genocide can be weaponized to distract from another. This is the operational logic of the Axis of Genocide: a shared interest in a world where power, not law, dictates the fate of vulnerable populations.
Obstacles to Accountability
Despite overwhelming evidence, labeling this campaign a genocide faces significant counter-arguments and structural barriers. These obstacles are employed by the state and its allies to create a shield of impunity.
The Challenge of Proving Intent: A primary obstacle is the high bar for proving intent. This argument, however, falls apart when you draw a straight line from the Project 2025 manifesto to the executive orders issued since January 20, 2025, which are a direct implementation of its framework. Another problem is the infighting among Holocaust and genocide scholars regarding Israel's actions in Gaza. Some scholars, viewing the Holocaust as a unique event, are reluctant to apply the term "genocide" to contemporary atrocities. This "scholarly shield" is weaponized by perpetrators to dismiss the accusation, allowing the process to continue under the cover of academic debate.
Political Deflection and Ideological Warfare: Proponents consistently deflect accusations as “politically motivated,” leveraging state power to cast doubt on the term's applicability to domestic policy. This tactic taps into a historical reluctance within the American political system to use the "genocide" label, as it creates immense pressure to intervene. By framing the accusations as partisan attacks, the debate is polarized, shifting the focus from the evidence to the perceived motivations of critics.
The Fourth Estate's Failures: The American media has proven structurally incapable of confronting this authoritarian turn. Decades of "both sides" journalism have created a false equivalence between democratic principles and a movement hostile to them, treating genocidal rhetoric as just another political viewpoint. This paralysis is worsened by media capture, where elite financial interests often align with the administration's policies. The information ecosystem is manipulated by lobbying, PR, and social media bot networks. The media’s business model, prioritizing spectacle over substance, incentivizes covering transgressive behavior as entertainment, rendering newsrooms unwilling to use accurate terms like "genocide" or "fascism."
International Roadblocks and Sovereign Impunity: Global accountability mechanisms are stopped by an administration that attacks the International Criminal Court. This opposition is a shared feature of the "Axis of Genocide." Leaders like Vladimir Putin and Benjamin Netanyahu, who also face ICC scrutiny, have vehemently opposed the court. Trump's policy of sanctioning ICC officials serves his allies by weakening the only international body with the potential jurisdiction to prosecute them. This creates a united front of powerful states working to dismantle international law.
These counterpoints, however, fail to address the reality of the destructive process. The UN Convention includes acts beyond killing—such as causing serious mental harm and inflicting destructive conditions of life, all of which are occurring.
The Lemkin Institute's Red Flag Alerts
The Lemkin Institute for Genocide Prevention, named for the lawyer who coined the term, has issued an unprecedented series of "Red Flag Alerts" for the United States. These alerts are not predictions but analyses of a dangerous trajectory. That an organization carrying Raphael Lemkin's legacy has issued multiple alerts for the US—a nation that helped create the prevention framework—underscores the gravity of this moment.
The alerts issued as of August 2025 include:
January 20, 2025: The Rise of the Nazi Salute. Issued on inauguration day, this was the first-ever genocide alert from the Institute for the US. It followed Elon Musk giving what was identified by historians as a Nazi salute, warning it was a signal of "allegiance with hate groups."
February 14, 2025: The Anti-Trans Agenda. This alert condemned the targeting of transgender Americans through executive orders, identifying the measures as "paper persecution" designed to justify authoritarian expansion.
March 13, 2025: Genocidal Rhetoric and Perpetrator Speech. Following a presidential address to Congress, the Institute described the language as "textbook perpetrator speech," highlighting the dehumanizing depiction of immigrants and the denial of the existence of transgender people.
April 27, 2025: Proposed Autism Registry. This alert warned against a proposed registry of autistic people, drawing parallels to Nazi-era targeting of disabled populations.
April 27, 2025: Axis of Genocide. The Institute identified the emergence of an "Axis of Genocide" comprising the US, Azerbaijan, Turkey, Israel, and Russia—states providing mutual support for such actions.
June 30, 2025: Escalation of the Anti-Trans Agenda. Following a Supreme Court decision upholding bans on gender-affirming care, the Institute warned that the decision "marks a radicalization of attempts to erase trans people."
A Nation on Trial
The evidence is decisive: the Trump Administration is orchestrating a campaign that fulfills the legal definition of the crime of genocide.
This isn’t a matter of rhetoric, but of documented actions that align with the UN Genocide Convention. The Project 2025 manifesto provides the chilling blueprint, detailing the clear intent to destroy targeted groups. The deliberate march through the stages of destruction, the formation of an "Axis of Genocide," and the issuance of executive orders that translate this violent ideology into state policy leave no room for doubt.
The obstacles to accountability—from a paralyzed media to politicized academic debates—are significant, yet do not alter the facts. The Lemkin Institute’s repeated Red Flag Alerts, grounded in the legacy of the man who defined the crime itself, serve as authoritative warnings. The United States is not on the brink of genocide; it has crossed the threshold. The individuals orchestrating this campaign, from the President down, are committing international crimes.
The historical record is being written now, and it will judge not only the perpetrators but also those who stood by. As we witness the harrowing destruction in Gaza and other crises of mass violence, we must not allow the sheer scale of visible atrocities to paralyze us. Instead, let them serve as a final, desperate warning of what happens when the architecture of hate is fully built, and channel that horror into the urgent work of defending our own democracy, ensuring the unthinkable never takes root here.
Bravo! For exposing this neo fascist Lebensraum project.